Beijing Guoan vs Shanghai Port Prediction & Tips

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China - Super League Regular Season - 11 Beijing Workers' Stadium· Beijing Sunday, May 10, 2026 11:35

Beijing Guoan PPG 1.00

2-2 MISS

Shanghai Port PPG 0.25

Away· +5.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.0%

Odds: 1.73 EV: -22.1%

Draw 27.2%

Odds: 3.85 EV: +2.8%

Away 27.8%

Odds: 3.95 EV: +5.9%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 53.1% Odds: 1.50 -20.3%

Over 3.5 31.2% Odds: 2.25 -29.8%

BTTS 55.8% Odds: 1.45 -19.1%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Beijing Guoan

1.56

Shanghai Port

1.26

Model SuggestionBTTS -19.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -19.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+5.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.25)