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Nantong Zhiyun vs Wuxi Wugou Prediction— China - League One

Regular Season - 8 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 11:30

Nantong Zhiyun

PPG 3.00 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Wuxi Wugou

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.4%0-113.1%0-25.2%0-31.4%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.5%1-113.2%1-25.3%1-31.4%1-4+0.3%2 2-08.3%2-16.7%2-22.7%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-02.8%3-12.2%3-20.9%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-10.7%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.4% 54.6% 1.83 -29.7%

Draw 35.4% 31.3% 3.20 +13.3%

Away win 26.2% 24.4% 4.10 +4.5%

Over 2.5 35.1% 45.5% 2.20 -22.8%

Over 3.5 11.0% 25.0% 4.00 -33.6%

BTTS 48.2% 51.8% 1.93 -7.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 43%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -33.6%

Bet Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.2%

H 38% / xG 1.0-0.8 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.4%

#2 1–1 13.2%

#3 1–0✓ 16.5%

#4 0–1 13.1%

#5 2–0 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Nantong Zhiyun1.0

Wuxi Wugou0.8

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.1% · O3.5 PROB 11.0%

Form & verdict PPG

NANTONG ZHIYUN · PPG 3.00

WUXI WUGOU · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=38.4%

Win probability 1X2

Nantong Zhiyun (H) 38.4%

ODDS 1.83 · IMPLIED 54.6% EV -29.7%

Draw 35.4%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +13.3%

Wuxi Wugou (A) 26.2%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV +4.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Nantong Zhiyun face Wuxi Wugou in China - League One on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nantong Zhiyun a 38% chance, the draw 35% and Wuxi Wugou 26%, so Nantong Zhiyun are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Nantong Zhiyun and 0.8 for Wuxi Wugou (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nantong Zhiyun are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 1.33 for Wuxi Wugou. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +13.3%. This match finished 1-0.

Nantong Zhiyun vs Wuxi Wugou Prediction— China - League One

Match Preview & Prediction

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