Freiberg vs Steinbach Prediction & Tips

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Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest Südwest - 29 Wasen-Stadion· Freiberg Saturday, April 18, 2026 12:00

Freiberg PPG 2.36

1-3 MISS

Steinbach PPG 1.57

Home· +2.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 69.1%

Odds: 1.48 EV: +2.3%

Draw 16.6%

Odds: 4.50 EV: -25.3%

Away 14.3%

Odds: 5.00 EV: -28.5%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 71.7% Odds: 1.36 -2.5%

Over 3.5 50.9% Odds: 1.93 -1.8%

BTTS 62.3% Odds: 1.44 -10.3%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1 ✘

2nd 2-0 ✘

3rd 3-1 ✘

4th 3-0 ✘

5th 1-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Freiberg

2.60

Steinbach

1.12

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -2.5% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-2.5%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 32%

O2.5/Under 68%

BTTS/No 68%

Score Hit 23%

ROI -39.7%

Bet Hit 42% (12 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.36) > Away GOOD (1.57)