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Eintracht Trier vs Walldorf Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest

Südwest · Matchday 29 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 12:00

Eintracht Trier

PPG 2.00 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLDW

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Walldorf

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLDLW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 71% chance

Combined xG of 4.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 79.4% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6% — a clear edge.

+17.5% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-13.1%0-23.4%0-32.4%0-4+2.2%1 1-03.0%1-16.5%1-27.0%1-35.1%1-4+4.5%2 2-03.1%2-16.7%2-27.3%2-35.2%2-4+4.7%3 3-02.2%3-14.7%3-25.0%3-33.6%3-4+3.2%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-13.9%4+-24.2%4+-33.0%4+-4+2.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.3% 48.8% 2.05 -21.5%

Draw 20.1% 26.3% 3.80 -23.6%

Away win 41.6% 34.7% 2.88 +19.8%

Over 2.5 79.4% 67.6% 1.48 +17.5%

Over 3.5 61.0% 45.5% 2.20 +34.2%

BTTS 77.3% 70.4% 1.42 +9.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 26%

ROI -39.7%

Bet Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 51%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob77.3%

A 42% / xG 2.1-2.2 / O2.5 79% / BTTS 77%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 7.3%

#2 1–2 7.0%

#3 2–1 6.7%

#4 1–1 6.5%

#5 2–3 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eintracht Trier2.1

Walldorf2.2

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.4% · O3.5 PROB 61.0%

Form & verdict PPG

EINTRACHT TRIER · PPG 2.00

WALLDORF · PPG 1.14

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

Chance this pick lands

71%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=38.3%

Win probability 1X2

Eintracht Trier (H) 38.3%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -21.5%

Draw 20.1%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -23.6%

Walldorf (A) 41.6%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV +19.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Eintracht Trier face Walldorf in Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eintracht Trier a 38% chance, the draw 20% and Walldorf 42%, so Walldorf are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Eintracht Trier and 2.2 for Walldorf (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 77% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eintracht Trier are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.14 for Walldorf. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +34.2%. This match finished 0-0.

Eintracht Trier vs Walldorf Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest

Match Preview & Prediction

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