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Sevilla FC B vs Eldense Prediction— Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2

Group 2 - 36 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 10:00

Sevilla FC B

PPG 1.00 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

Eldense

PPG 1.18 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.9%0-120.2%0-210.8%0-33.8%0-4+1.3%1 1-011.3%1-112.1%1-26.4%1-32.3%1-4+0.8%2 2-03.4%2-13.6%2-21.9%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-00.7%3-10.7%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.6% 12.5% 8.00 +53.3%

Draw 34.5% 26.3% 3.80 +31.1%

Away win 41.9% 71.4% 1.40 -41.3%

Over 2.5 35.1% 45.5% 2.20 -22.8%

Over 3.5 8.8% 25.0% 4.00 -38.9%

BTTS 45.9% 42.0% 2.38 +9.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 59 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 46%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 25.4%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob45.9%

A 42% / xG 0.6-1.1 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 18.9%

#2 0–1 20.2%

#3 1–1 12.1%

#4 0–2 10.8%

#5 1–0 11.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sevilla FC B0.6

Eldense1.1

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.1% · O3.5 PROB 8.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SEVILLA FC B · PPG 1.00

ELDENSE · PPG 1.18

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.18)

Win probability 1X2

Sevilla FC B (H) 23.6%

ODDS 8.00 · IMPLIED 12.5% EV +53.3%

Draw 34.5%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV +31.1%

Eldense (A) 41.9%

ODDS 1.40 · IMPLIED 71.4% EV -41.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sevilla FC B face Eldense in Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2 on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sevilla FC B a 24% chance, the draw 35% and Eldense 42%, so Eldense are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Sevilla FC B and 1.1 for Eldense (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sevilla FC B are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.18 for Eldense. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +53.3%. This match finished 2-2.

Sevilla FC B vs Eldense Prediction— Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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