Marbella vs Torremolinos Prediction & Tips

← Back to picks

Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Group 2 - 36 Banus Football Center· Marbella Sunday, May 10, 2026 10:00

Marbella PPG 1.31

0-1 HIT CS4

Torremolinos PPG 0.88

Home· +19.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.3%

Odds: 3.30 EV: +19.8%

Draw 28.3%

Odds: 3.55 EV: +0.3%

Away 35.4%

Odds: 1.95 EV: -31.0%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 45.8% Odds: 1.83 -16.2%

Over 3.5 16.1% Odds: 3.10 -30.0%

BTTS 50.8% Odds: 1.70 -13.6%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 0-1 ✔

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Marbella

1.07

Torremolinos

1.03

Model SuggestionBTTS -13.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -13.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+19.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 59 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5/Under 46%

BTTS/No 56%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 65.2%

Bet Hit 69% (13 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.31) > Away POOR (0.88)