Today / China - Super League / Qingdao West C. vs Wuhan Three T.

Qingdao West C. vs Wuhan Three T. Prediction— China - Super League

Matchday 11 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 09:30

Qingdao West C.

PPG 1.50 · HOME

LAST 5

WDDWD

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Wuhan Three T.

PPG 0.40 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDLDW

// Model verdict

BTTS 56% chance

Model probability 52.3% vs bookmaker-implied 57.8%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.4%0-19.3%0-25.1%0-31.9%0-4+0.7%1 1-011.5%1-112.7%1-27.0%1-32.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.9%2-18.7%2-24.8%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-03.6%3-14.0%3-22.2%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-11.8%4+-21.0%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.4% 53.2% 1.88 -16.5%

Draw 28.1% 29.9% 3.35 -3.5%

Away win 27.5% 26.0% 3.85 +3.5%

Over 2.5 46.5% 51.8% 1.93 -10.3%

Over 3.5 23.7% 29.9% 3.35 -12.4%

BTTS 52.3% 57.8% 1.73 -9.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 109 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 35%

ROI -10.7%

Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 21%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.3%

H 44% / xG 1.4-1.1 / O2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 12.7%

#2 0–0 8.4%

#3 1–0 11.5%

#4 2–1 8.7%

#5 2–0 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Qingdao West C.1.4

Wuhan Three T.1.1

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.5% · O3.5 PROB 23.7%

Form & verdict PPG

QINGDAO WEST C. · PPG 1.50

WUHAN THREE T. · PPG 0.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

56%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.50) vs P(Home)=44.4%

Win probability 1X2

Qingdao West C. (H) 44.4%

ODDS 1.88 · IMPLIED 53.2% EV -16.5%

Draw 28.1%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -3.5%

Wuhan Three T. (A) 27.5%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV +3.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Qingdao West C. face Wuhan Three T. in China - Super League on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Qingdao West C. a 44% chance, the draw 28% and Wuhan Three T. 28%, so Qingdao West C. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Qingdao West C. and 1.1 for Wuhan Three T. (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Qingdao West C. are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.40 for Wuhan Three T.. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +3.5%. This match finished 1-1.

Qingdao West C. vs Wuhan Three T. Prediction— China - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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