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Anyang vs Jeonbuk Prediction— South-Korea - K League 1

Regular Season - 13 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 07:30

Anyang logo
Anyang
PPG 1.00 · HOME
1 – 1
FULL TIME
Jeonbuk logo
Jeonbuk
PPG 1.50 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.0%0-116.6%0-28.6%0-33.0%0-4+1.0%1 1-012.7%1-113.2%1-26.9%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-05.0%2-15.2%2-22.7%2-30.9%2-4+0.3%3 3-01.3%3-11.4%3-20.7%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 27.5% 29.4% 3.40 -3.9%
Draw 35.4% 30.8% 3.25 +15.0%
Away win 37.2% 46.5% 2.15 -20.0%
Over 2.5 35.1% 47.6% 2.10 -26.3%
Over 3.5 11.4% 26.3% 3.80 -34.0%
BTTS 48.2% 54.6% 1.83 -11.8%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%
O2.5 53%
BTTS 45%
Score Hit 47%
ROI -30.7%
Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE
✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE
xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob48.2%

D 35% / xG 0.8-1.0 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.0%
#2 1–1 13.2%
#3 0–1 16.6%
#4 1–0 12.7%
#5 0–2 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Anyang0.8
Jeonbuk1.0

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.1% · O3.5 PROB 11.4%

Form & verdict PPG

ANYANG · PPG 1.00

JEONBUK · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Anyang (H) 27.5%
ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -3.9%
Draw 35.4%
ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV +15.0%
Jeonbuk (A) 37.2%
ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -20.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Anyang face Jeonbuk in South-Korea - K League 1 on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Anyang a 28% chance, the draw 35% and Jeonbuk 37%, so Jeonbuk are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Anyang and 1.0 for Jeonbuk (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Anyang are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.50 for Jeonbuk. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +15.0%. This match finished 1-1.

PredictVantage

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