Today / South-Korea - K League 1 / Anyang vs Jeonbuk

Anyang vs Jeonbuk Prediction— South-Korea - K League 1

Matchday 13 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 07:30

Anyang logo
Anyang
PPG 1.00 · HOME
LAST 5
LLLWD
1 – 1
FULL TIME
Jeonbuk logo
Jeonbuk
PPG 1.50 · AWAY
LAST 5
LLWDD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.0%0-116.6%0-28.6%0-33.0%0-4+1.0%1 1-012.7%1-113.2%1-26.9%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-05.0%2-15.2%2-22.7%2-30.9%2-4+0.3%3 3-01.3%3-11.4%3-20.7%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 27.5% 29.4% 3.40 -3.9%
Draw 35.4% 30.8% 3.25 +15.0%
Away win 37.2% 46.5% 2.15 -20.0%
Over 2.5 35.1% 47.6% 2.10 -26.3%
Over 3.5 11.4% 26.3% 3.80 -34.0%
BTTS 48.2% 54.6% 1.83 -11.8%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%
O2.5 53%
BTTS 45%
Score Hit 47%
ROI -64.7%
Bet Hit 22%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE
✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE
xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob48.2%

D 35% / xG 0.8-1.0 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.0%
#2 1–1 13.2%
#3 0–1 16.6%
#4 1–0 12.7%
#5 0–2 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Anyang0.8
Jeonbuk1.0

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.1% · O3.5 PROB 11.4%

Form & verdict PPG

ANYANG · PPG 1.00

JEONBUK · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
Chance this pick lands
48%
DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Anyang (H) 27.5%
ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -3.9%
Draw 35.4%
ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV +15.0%
Jeonbuk (A) 37.2%
ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -20.0%

Season Statistics average per match · 8 matches · 2026

Anyang ▾ lower is better Jeonbuk

Attack

9.4
Shots
12.5
4.4
Shots on target
4.0
3.9
Shots off target
5.9
1.1
Blocked shots
2.6
4.9
Shots inside box
8.1
2.9
Shots outside box
3.4
46.7%
Shooting accuracy
32.0%
34.3%
Goals per shot on target
29.2%
1.50
Goals
1.17
0.64
xG for 2·2 of 8
1.81

Defence

15.5
Shots faced
9.6
4.6
Shots on target faced
2.8
1.00
Goals conceded
0.50
2.52
xG against 2·2 of 8
1.35
3.0
Goalkeeper saves
2.2

Control

42.4%
Possession
52.2%
297
Passes
375
233
Accurate passes
318
78.4%
Pass accuracy
84.8%
3.2
Corners
4.2
6.4
Corners faced
3.8
1.1
Offsides
0.8

Discipline

10.6
Fouls
11.6
2.2
Yellow cards
2.2
0.25
Red cards
0.00

Match Preview & Prediction

Anyang face Jeonbuk in South-Korea - K League 1 on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Anyang a 28% chance, the draw 35% and Jeonbuk 37%, so Jeonbuk are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Anyang and 1.0 for Jeonbuk (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Anyang are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.50 for Jeonbuk. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +15.0%. This match finished 1-1.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

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