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South-Korea - K League 1 logo South-Korea flag South-Korea - K League 1 Regular Season - 13 Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium· Ulsan Sunday, May 10, 2026 05:00
Ulsan logo Ulsan PPG 1.17
1-0 HIT CS3
Bucheon FC logo Bucheon FC PPG 1.67
Away· +21.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away
45% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.5%
Odds: 1.68 EV: -23.6%
Draw 28.5%
Odds: 3.60 EV: +1.6%
Away 26.1%
Odds: 5.20 EV: +21.4%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 2.00 -7.6%
Over 3.5 20.0% Odds: 3.55 -17.4%
BTTS 52.3% Odds: 1.90 -0.6%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Ulsan
1.35
Bucheon FC
0.94

Model Suggestion

BTTS -0.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -0.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+21.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%
O2.5/Under 56%
BTTS/No 48%
Score Hit 50%
ROI -73.5%
Bet Hit 17% (12 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.17) vs Away GOOD (1.67)

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