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Wiedenbruck vs Bonner SC Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - West

West - 30 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 12:00

Wiedenbruck

PPG 1.25 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

Bonner SC

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.6%0-112.5%0-29.0%0-34.4%0-4+2.2%1 1-08.7%1-112.5%1-29.1%1-34.4%1-4+2.2%2 2-04.3%2-16.3%2-24.5%2-32.2%2-4+1.1%3 3-01.4%3-12.1%3-21.5%3-30.7%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.7%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.2% 31.3% 3.20 -16.2%

Draw 26.5% 27.4% 3.65 -3.3%

Away win 47.3% 51.3% 1.95 -7.8%

Over 2.5 44.3% 58.8% 1.70 -24.7%

Over 3.5 23.1% 36.4% 2.75 -36.5%

BTTS 48.4% 62.5% 1.60 -22.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 26%

ROI -37.0%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 22%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob48.4%

A 47% / xG 1.0-1.4 / O2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.5%

#2 0–1 12.5%

#3 1–2 9.1%

#4 0–2 9.0%

#5 1–0 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wiedenbruck1.0

Bonner SC1.4

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.3% · O3.5 PROB 23.1%

Form & verdict PPG

WIEDENBRUCK · PPG 1.25

BONNER SC · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.25), Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Wiedenbruck (H) 26.2%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -16.2%

Draw 26.5%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -3.3%

Bonner SC (A) 47.3%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -7.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Wiedenbruck face Bonner SC in Germany - Regionalliga - West on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wiedenbruck a 26% chance, the draw 27% and Bonner SC 47%, so Bonner SC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Wiedenbruck and 1.4 for Bonner SC (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wiedenbruck are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.50 for Bonner SC. This match finished 2-2.

Wiedenbruck vs Bonner SC Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

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