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Australia - Northern NSW NPL logo Australia flag Australia - Northern NSW NPL Regular Season - 11 Sunday, May 10, 2026 05:00
Charlestown A. logo Charlestown A. PPG 1.50
3-5 MISS
Broadmeadow logo Broadmeadow PPG 2.40
Over3.5· +4.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 22.1%
Odds: 3.75 EV: -10.3%
Draw 23.7%
Odds: 3.50 EV: -10.2%
Away 54.3%
Odds: 1.75 EV: -5.0%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.7% Odds: 1.57 -3.1%
Over 3.5 46.2% Odds: 2.25 +4.0%
BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.50 -11.8%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-2
4th 1-3
5th 2-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Charlestown A.
1.27
Broadmeadow
2.22

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -3.1% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-3.1%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%
O2.5/Under 79%
BTTS/No 71%
Score Hit 39%
ROI 52.9%
Bet Hit 100% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.40) vs Home GOOD (1.50)

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