Ulverstone vs Clarence Zebras Prediction & Tips

← Back to picks

Australia - Tasmania NPL Regular Season - 8 Westside Park· Ulverstone Sunday, May 10, 2026 04:30

Ulverstone PPG 0.25

0-4 HIT CS4

Clarence Zebras PPG 1.50

Over3.5· +14.5% ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

90% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 12.3%

Odds: 6.50 EV: -12.0%

Draw 21.2%

Odds: 4.80 EV: +1.1%

Away 66.6%

Odds: 1.33 EV: -11.4%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 73.4% Odds: 1.30 -4.6%

Over 3.5 69.4% Odds: 1.65 +14.5%

BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.44 -15.3%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-3 ✘

2nd 0-3 ✘

3rd 1-4 ✘

4th 0-4 ✔

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Ulverstone

1.08

Clarence Zebras

3.64

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -4.6% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-4.6%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 87%

O2.5/Under 80%

BTTS/No 53%

Score Hit 27%

ROI 20.6%

Bet Hit 80% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

90%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.50) vs Home POOR (0.25)