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USA - Major League Soccer logo USA flag USA - Major League Soccer Regular Season - 13 PayPal Park· San Jose Sunday, May 10, 2026 02:30
SJ Earthquakes logo SJ Earthquakes PPG 2.40
1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Vancouver logo Vancouver PPG 2.00
Home· +33.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 42.9%
Odds: 3.10 EV: +33.0%
Draw 27.1%
Odds: 3.65 EV: -0.7%
Away 30.0%
Odds: 2.12 EV: -36.4%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.8% Odds: 1.50 -20.8%
Over 3.5 26.5% Odds: 2.25 -24.2%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.42 -22.5%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 2-1
4th 1-0
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

SJ Earthquakes
1.41
Vancouver
1.20

Model Suggestion

BTTS -22.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -22.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+33.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.40) > Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

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