Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 61.7% Odds: 1.38 -14.8%
Over 3.5 50.9% Odds: 1.95 -0.7%
BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.45 -14.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-1 ✘
2nd 1-1 ✘
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 3-1 ✘
5th 3-0 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -14.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -14.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+7.4%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 76 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 47%
O2.5/Under 61%
BTTS/No 68%
Score Hit 41%
ROI -11.7%
Bet Hit 50% (48 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B... HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.75) vs P(Home)=57.8%