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USA - Major League Soccer logo USA flag USA - Major League Soccer Regular Season - 13 Providence Park· Portland Sunday, May 10, 2026 02:30
Portland logo Portland PPG 1.75
6-0 MISS
Sporting KC logo Sporting KC PPG 0.60
Away· +7.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 57.8%
Odds: 1.50 EV: -13.3%
Draw 21.0%
Odds: 4.65 EV: -1.4%
Away 21.2%
Odds: 5.30 EV: +7.4%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.7% Odds: 1.38 -14.8%
Over 3.5 50.9% Odds: 1.95 -0.7%
BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.45 -14.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 1-1
3rd 2-0
4th 3-1
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Portland
2.57
Sporting KC
1.15

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -14.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -14.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+7.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 76 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%
O2.5/Under 61%
BTTS/No 68%
Score Hit 41%
ROI -11.7%
Bet Hit 50% (48 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.75) vs P(Home)=57.8%

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