Today / Germany - Regionalliga - West / S. Siegen vs Gutersloh

S. Siegen vs Gutersloh Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - West

West - 30 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 12:00

S. Siegen

PPG 1.64 · HOME

5 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Gutersloh

PPG 1.64 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 50.6% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.3%0-19.6%0-25.6%0-32.2%0-4+0.8%1 1-011.0%1-112.8%1-27.4%1-32.9%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.3%2-18.5%2-24.9%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-03.2%3-13.8%3-22.2%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.7%4+-21.0%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.5% 47.6% 2.10 -14.9%

Draw 26.9% 27.4% 3.65 -1.8%

Away win 32.5% 35.1% 2.85 -7.4%

Over 2.5 45.5% 59.9% 1.67 -24.0%

Over 3.5 24.1% 37.0% 2.70 -34.9%

BTTS 50.6% 64.5% 1.55 -21.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 26%

ROI -37.0%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 17%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-0

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob50.6%

H 40% / xG 1.3-1.2 / O2.5 46% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 1–0 11.0%

#3 0–1 9.6%

#4 2–1 8.5%

#5 0–0 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

S. Siegen1.3

Gutersloh1.2

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.5% · O3.5 PROB 24.1%

Form & verdict PPG

S. SIEGEN · PPG 1.64

GUTERSLOH · PPG 1.64

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.64), Away GOOD (1.64)

Win probability 1X2

S. Siegen (H) 40.5%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -14.9%

Draw 26.9%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -1.8%

Gutersloh (A) 32.5%

ODDS 2.85 · IMPLIED 35.1% EV -7.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

S. Siegen face Gutersloh in Germany - Regionalliga - West on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives S. Siegen a 41% chance, the draw 27% and Gutersloh 33%, so S. Siegen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for S. Siegen and 1.2 for Gutersloh (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, S. Siegen are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 1.64 for Gutersloh. This match finished 5-0.

S. Siegen vs Gutersloh Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

More Germany - Regionalliga - West Predictions