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USA - Major League Soccer Saturday, May 9, 2026 23:30 
New England PPG 3.00 
Philadelphia PPG 0.67
USA - Major League Soccer Saturday, May 9, 2026 23:30 New England PPG 3.002-1 HIT CS5
Philadelphia PPG 0.67Home· +60.3% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 59.3% Odds: 2.00 +18.6%
Over 3.5 34.9% Odds: 3.55 +23.9%
BTTS 52.3% Odds: 1.75 -8.5%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-0 ✘
2nd 1-0 ✘
3rd 3-0 ✘
4th 1-1 ✘
5th 2-1 ✔
Expected Goals (xG)
New England 2.27
Philadelphia 0.72
Model Suggestion
Home +60.3% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.
Verdict & Form
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 95%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=61.2%