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USA - Major League Soccer logo USA flag USA - Major League Soccer Regular Season - 13 Mercedes-Benz Stadium· Atlanta Saturday, May 9, 2026 23:30
Atlanta Utd logo Atlanta Utd PPG 1.00
1-2 HIT CS2
LA Galaxy logo LA Galaxy PPG 1.00
Away· +1.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.3%
Odds: 2.32 EV: -13.5%
Draw 26.3%
Odds: 3.60 EV: -3.2%
Away 36.4%
Odds: 2.78 EV: +1.2%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.3% Odds: 1.65 -2.2%
Over 3.5 34.4% Odds: 2.65 -8.8%
BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.53 -10.0%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 2-1
4th 0-0
5th 2-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Atlanta Utd
1.46
LA Galaxy
1.51

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -2.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -2.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+1.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

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