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CRB vs Operario PR Prediction— Brazil - Serie B

Regular Season - 8 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 23:30

CRB

PPG 0.00 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

Operario PR

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.4%0-119.3%0-211.4%0-34.5%0-4+1.7%1 1-010.3%1-112.2%1-27.2%1-32.8%1-4+1.1%2 2-03.3%2-13.9%2-22.3%2-30.9%2-4+0.3%3 3-00.7%3-10.8%3-20.5%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.3% — — —

Draw 30.5% — — —

Away win 45.2% — — —

Over 2.5 35.1% — — —

Over 3.5 11.0% — — —

BTTS 45.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 101 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 57%

ROI 15.6%

Bet Hit 59%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob45.9%

A 45% / xG 0.6-1.2 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.4%

#2 0–1 19.3%

#3 1–1 12.2%

#4 0–2 11.4%

#5 1–0 10.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

CRB0.6

Operario PR1.2

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.1% · O3.5 PROB 11.0%

Form & verdict PPG

CRB · PPG 0.00

OPERARIO PR · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

CRB (H) 24.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Operario PR (A) 45.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

CRB face Operario PR in Brazil - Serie B on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives CRB a 24% chance, the draw 31% and Operario PR 45%, so Operario PR are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for CRB and 1.2 for Operario PR (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, CRB are averaging 0.00 points per game versus 1.33 for Operario PR. This match finished 3-0.

CRB vs Operario PR Prediction— Brazil - Serie B

Match Preview & Prediction

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