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Atletico GO vs Athletic Club Prediction— Brazil - Serie B

Matchday 18 ·Saturday, July 18, 2026, 21:00

Atletico GO

PPG 1.67 · HOME

LAST 5

DLDWW

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Athletic Club

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLLL

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.8%0-111.1%0-24.8%0-31.4%0-4+0.4%1 1-015.2%1-113.2%1-25.7%1-31.7%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.0%2-17.8%2-23.4%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.6%3-13.1%3-21.3%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.2%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.2% 52.6% 1.90 -16.0%

Draw 30.0% 30.8% 3.25 -2.5%

Away win 25.7% 23.8% 4.20 +4.8%

Over 2.5 39.9% 42.6% 2.35 -6.2%

Over 3.5 22.3% 22.2% 4.50 +0.2%

BTTS 48.5% 48.8% 2.05 -0.6%

Home O1.5 36.4% 45.5% 2.20 -19.9%

Away O1.5 23.8% 25.0% 4.00 -2.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 171 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 58%

ROI 18.7%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.5%

H 44% / xG 1.2-0.9 / U2.5 40% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0✓ 12.8%

#3 1–0 15.2%

#4 0–1 11.1%

#5 2–0 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Atletico GO1.2

Athletic Club0.9

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.9% · O3.5 PROB 22.3%

Form & verdict PPG

ATLETICO GO · PPG 1.67

ATHLETIC CLUB · PPG 1.25

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away AVERAGE (1.25)

Win probability 1X2

Atletico GO (H) 44.2%

ODDS 1.90 · IMPLIED 52.6% EV -16.0%

Draw 30.0%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -2.5%

Athletic Club (A) 25.7%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV +4.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Atletico GO face Athletic Club in Brazil - Serie B on Saturday, July 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Atletico GO a 44% chance, the draw 30% and Athletic Club 26%, so Atletico GO are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Atletico GO and 0.9 for Athletic Club (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Atletico GO are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.25 for Athletic Club. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +4.8%. This match finished 0-0.

Atletico GO vs Athletic Club Prediction— Brazil - Serie B

Match Preview & Prediction

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