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USA - USL Championship Saturday, May 9, 2026 23:00 
Louisville City PPG 2.25 
Pittsburgh PPG 0.80
USA - USL Championship Saturday, May 9, 2026 23:00 Louisville City PPG 2.250-2 MISS
Pittsburgh PPG 0.80Over3.5· +41.1% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Away
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 61.6% Odds: 1.85 +14.0%
Over 3.5 44.1% Odds: 3.20 +41.1%
BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.95 +14.7%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-1 ✘
2nd 1-1 ✘
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 3-1 ✘
5th 3-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Louisville City 2.32
Pittsburgh 1.08
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 +14.0% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+41.1%)
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+41.1%)
League Track Record ↗
Based on 26 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 58%
O2.5/Under 50%
BTTS/No 46%
Score Hit 50%
ROI 23.8%
Bet Hit 58% (12 bets)
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 80%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs P(Home)=52.8%