Indy Eleven vs Sporting JAX Prediction & Tips

USA - USL Championship Group Stage Michael A. Carroll Stadium Saturday, May 9, 2026 23:00

Indy Eleven PPG 2.33

2-1 HIT CS4

Sporting JAX PPG 0.20

Home· +7.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

68% confidence

Home 65.5%

Odds: 1.64 EV: +7.4%

Draw 22.2%

Odds: 3.75 EV: -10.1%

Away 12.3%

Odds: 4.50 EV: -26.8%

Model lean: Home

Result: Home ✔

Over 2.5 59.3% Odds: 1.70 +0.8%

Over 3.5 34.7% Odds: 2.75 -4.6%

BTTS 50.8% Odds: 1.67 -15.2%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

1st 2-0 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 3-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✔

5th 1-1 ✘

Indy Eleven

2.33

Sporting JAX

0.65

Model SuggestionHome +7.4% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

68%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.33), Away POOR (0.20) - Strong consensus