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Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura
Apertura - 20
Estadio Arsenio Erico· Asuncion
Saturday, May 9, 2026
23:00
Nacional
PPG 2.00
2-1
MISS
S. Trinidense
PPG 0.78
Home· -1.0%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
44.6%
Odds: 2.22
EV: -1.0%
Draw
29.3%
Odds: 3.05
EV: -6.4%
Away
26.1%
Odds: 3.25
EV: -9.1%
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
45.8%
Odds: 2.15
-1.5%
Over 3.5
16.2%
Odds: 3.90
-22.1%
BTTS
48.2%
Odds: 1.80
-13.2%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
0-0
✘
3rd
1-0
✘
4th
2-0
✘
5th
0-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Nacional
1.26
S. Trinidense
0.84
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
League Track Record
↗
Based on 34 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc
38%
O2.5/Under
59%
BTTS/No
47%
Score Hit
50%
ROI
16.7%
Bet Hit
56%
(9 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=44.6%