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Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura logo Paraguay flag Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura Apertura - 20 Estadio Arsenio Erico· Asuncion Saturday, May 9, 2026 23:00
Nacional logo Nacional PPG 2.00
2-1 MISS
S. Trinidense logo S. Trinidense PPG 0.78
Home· -1.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 44.6%
Odds: 2.22 EV: -1.0%
Draw 29.3%
Odds: 3.05 EV: -6.4%
Away 26.1%
Odds: 3.25 EV: -9.1%
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 45.8% Odds: 2.15 -1.5%
Over 3.5 16.2% Odds: 3.90 -22.1%
BTTS 48.2% Odds: 1.80 -13.2%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-0
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Nacional
1.26
S. Trinidense
0.84

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%
O2.5/Under 59%
BTTS/No 47%
Score Hit 50%
ROI 16.7%
Bet Hit 56% (9 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=44.6%

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