Today / USA - NWSL Women / Gotham FC W vs Boston Legacy W

Gotham FC W vs Boston Legacy W Prediction— USA - NWSL Women

Group Stage ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 22:30

Gotham FC W

PPG 1.60 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Boston Legacy W

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

No PPG data

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.0%0-16.0%0-21.1%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-023.3%1-18.7%1-21.6%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-017.0%2-16.4%2-21.2%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-08.3%3-13.1%3-20.6%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-04.1%4+-11.6%4+-20.3%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.5% — — —

Draw 28.3% — — —

Away win 16.1% — — —

Over 2.5 35.1% — — —

Over 3.5 11.4% — — —

BTTS 41.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 46%

BTTS 42%

Score Hit 39%

ROI -7.8%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 53%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob41.8%

H 56% / xG 1.5-0.4 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 23.3%

#2 0–0 16.0%

#3 2–0 17.0%

#4 1–1✓ 8.7%

#5 3–0 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gotham FC W1.5

Boston Legacy W0.4

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.1% · O3.5 PROB 11.4%

Form & verdict PPG

GOTHAM FC W · PPG 1.60

BOSTON LEGACY W · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Gotham FC W (H) 55.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Boston Legacy W (A) 16.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gotham FC W face Boston Legacy W in USA - NWSL Women on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gotham FC W a 56% chance, the draw 28% and Boston Legacy W 16%, so Gotham FC W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Gotham FC W and 0.4 for Boston Legacy W (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gotham FC W are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 0.00 for Boston Legacy W. This match finished 1-1.

Gotham FC W vs Boston Legacy W Prediction— USA - NWSL Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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