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Brazil - Serie A logo Brazil flag Brazil - Serie A Regular Season - 15 Estádio do Maracanã· Rio de Janeiro Saturday, May 9, 2026 21:00
Fluminense logo Fluminense PPG 2.57
2-2 MISS
Vitoria logo Vitoria PPG 0.33
Away· +34.9% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.0%
Odds: 1.49 EV: -24.0%
Draw 26.4%
Odds: 3.95 EV: +2.6%
Away 22.6%
Odds: 7.00 EV: +34.9%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.3% Odds: 2.00 +18.6%
Over 3.5 33.4% Odds: 3.55 +18.6%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 2.10 +14.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-0
3rd 2-1
4th 1-0
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Fluminense
1.99
Vitoria
0.93

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +18.6% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Away(+34.9%)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.57) vs P(Home)=51.0%

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