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Brazil - Serie A
Regular Season - 15
Estádio do Maracanã· Rio de Janeiro
Saturday, May 9, 2026
21:00
Fluminense
PPG 2.57
2-2
MISS
Vitoria
PPG 0.33
Away· +34.9%
✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
51.0%
Odds: 1.49
EV: -24.0%
Draw
26.4%
Odds: 3.95
EV: +2.6%
Away
22.6%
Odds: 7.00
EV: +34.9%
Model lean:
Over 2.5
Result: Draw ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
59.3%
Odds: 2.00
+18.6%
Over 3.5
33.4%
Odds: 3.55
+18.6%
BTTS
54.6%
Odds: 2.10
+14.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
2-0
✘
3rd
2-1
✘
4th
1-0
✘
5th
3-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Fluminense
1.99
Vitoria
0.93
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5
+18.6%
ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market:
Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader:
Away(+34.9%)
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.57) vs P(Home)=51.0%