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Argentina - Primera Nacional logo Argentina flag Argentina - Primera Nacional Regular Season - 13 Estadio Nuevo Monumental· Rafaela Saturday, May 9, 2026 21:00
A. Rafaela logo A. Rafaela PPG 1.83
1-0 HIT MostLikelyScore
Gimnasia y Tiro logo Gimnasia y Tiro PPG 0.75
BTTS· +17.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.7%
Odds: 2.10 EV: +4.4%
Draw 28.3%
Odds: 2.85 EV: -11.6%
Away 22.0%
Odds: 3.75 EV: -10.5%
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 35.1% Odds: 3.25 +14.1%
Over 3.5 12.4% Odds: 7.00 -7.9%
BTTS 45.9% Odds: 2.55 +17.0%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-1
4th 2-0
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

A. Rafaela
1.27
Gimnasia y Tiro
0.63

Model Suggestion

No Bet ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.
Raw EV leader: BTTS(+17.0%)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.83) vs P(Home)=49.7%

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