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2 de Mayo vs Rubio Nu Prediction— Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura

Apertura - 20 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 20:45

2 de Mayo

PPG 0.78 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

Rubio Nu

PPG 1.22 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.1%0-115.5%0-27.0%0-32.1%0-4+0.6%1 1-014.7%1-113.3%1-26.0%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-06.3%2-15.7%2-22.6%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.8%3-11.6%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.6% 38.2% 2.62 -12.0%

Draw 32.6% 35.1% 2.85 -7.1%

Away win 33.9% 35.7% 2.80 -5.1%

Over 2.5 35.1% 43.5% 2.30 -19.3%

Over 3.5 10.3% 23.8% 4.20 -34.0%

BTTS 46.6% 54.1% 1.85 -13.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 47%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 9.0%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob46.6%

D 33% / xG 0.9-0.9 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.1%

#2 1–1 13.3%

#3 0–1 15.5%

#4 1–0 14.7%

#5 0–2 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

2 de Mayo0.9

Rubio Nu0.9

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.1% · O3.5 PROB 10.3%

Form & verdict PPG

2 DE MAYO · PPG 0.78

RUBIO NU · PPG 1.22

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.78) vs Away AVERAGE (1.22)

Win probability 1X2

2 de Mayo (H) 33.6%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -12.0%

Draw 32.6%

ODDS 2.85 · IMPLIED 35.1% EV -7.1%

Rubio Nu (A) 33.9%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -5.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

2 de Mayo face Rubio Nu in Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives 2 de Mayo a 34% chance, the draw 33% and Rubio Nu 34%, so Rubio Nu are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for 2 de Mayo and 0.9 for Rubio Nu (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, 2 de Mayo are averaging 0.78 points per game versus 1.22 for Rubio Nu. This match finished 2-0.

2 de Mayo vs Rubio Nu Prediction— Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura

Match Preview & Prediction

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