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Peru - Primera División
Apertura - 14
Estadio Campeones del 36· Sullana
Saturday, May 9, 2026
20:15
Atletico Grau
PPG 1.33
1-2
HIT CS5
Cienciano
PPG 1.17
Away· +35.8%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...
48% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
27.4%
Odds: 2.28
EV: -22.5%
Draw
29.5%
Odds: 3.20
EV: -3.4%
Away
43.1%
Odds: 3.15
EV: +35.8%
Model lean:
BTTS
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
45.8%
Odds: 2.10
-3.8%
Over 3.5
18.4%
Odds: 3.80
-18.1%
BTTS
51.0%
Odds: 1.80
-8.2%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
0-0
✘
3rd
0-1
✘
4th
0-2
✘
5th
1-2
✔
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Grau
0.92
Cienciano
1.29
Model Suggestion
BTTS
-8.2%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans BTTS, but EV is -8.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV:
Away (+35.8%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...
48%
BALANCED
Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away AVERAGE (1.17)