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Peru - Primera División logo Peru flag Peru - Primera División Apertura - 14 Estadio Campeones del 36· Sullana Saturday, May 9, 2026 20:15
Atletico Grau logo Atletico Grau PPG 1.33
1-2 HIT CS5
Cienciano logo Cienciano PPG 1.17
Away· +35.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...
48% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 27.4%
Odds: 2.28 EV: -22.5%
Draw 29.5%
Odds: 3.20 EV: -3.4%
Away 43.1%
Odds: 3.15 EV: +35.8%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 45.8% Odds: 2.10 -3.8%
Over 3.5 18.4% Odds: 3.80 -18.1%
BTTS 51.0% Odds: 1.80 -8.2%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 0-1
4th 0-2
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Atletico Grau
0.92
Cienciano
1.29

Model Suggestion

BTTS -8.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -8.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+35.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...
48%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away AVERAGE (1.17)

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