Motherwell vs Hearts Prediction & Tips

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Scotland - Premiership Championship Group - 36 Fir Park· Motherwell Saturday, May 9, 2026 19:00

Motherwell PPG 2.06

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

Hearts PPG 1.76

Home· +9.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 39.8%

Odds: 2.75 EV: +9.4%

Draw 30.2%

Odds: 3.45 EV: +4.2%

Away 30.0%

Odds: 2.40 EV: -28.0%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 45.8% Odds: 1.83 -16.2%

Over 3.5 18.7% Odds: 3.10 -25.2%

BTTS 52.3% Odds: 1.65 -13.7%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Motherwell

1.20

Hearts

1.03

Model SuggestionBTTS -13.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -13.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+9.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.06) > Away GOOD (1.76)