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Spain - Segunda División Saturday, May 9, 2026 19:00 
Malaga PPG 2.05 
Sporting Gijon PPG 0.89
Spain - Segunda División Saturday, May 9, 2026 19:00 Malaga PPG 2.052-1 HIT CS2
Sporting Gijon PPG 0.89Away· +26.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 55.1% Odds: 1.70 -6.3%
Over 3.5 32.0% Odds: 2.80 -10.4%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.75 -4.5%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✔
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 1-0 ✘
5th 0-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Malaga 1.77
Sporting Gijon 1.08
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -6.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -6.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+26.6%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+26.6%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.05) vs P(Home)=49.3%