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Bochum B vs Bocholt Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - West

West - 30 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 12:00

Bochum B

PPG 1.00 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Bocholt

PPG 1.46 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 65.5% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.6%0-16.1%0-25.0%0-32.8%0-4+1.7%1 1-06.0%1-110.0%1-28.3%1-34.6%1-4+2.8%2 2-04.9%2-18.2%2-26.9%2-33.8%2-4+2.3%3 3-02.7%3-14.5%3-23.8%3-32.1%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-12.7%4+-22.2%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.1% 43.5% 2.30 -12.4%

Draw 23.0% 26.7% 3.75 -13.8%

Away win 38.9% 40.0% 2.50 -2.8%

Over 2.5 64.3% 63.7% 1.57 +0.9%

Over 3.5 42.3% 40.8% 2.45 +3.6%

BTTS 65.5% 67.6% 1.48 -3.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 26%

ROI -37.0%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob65.5%

A 39% / xG 1.6-1.7 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.0%

#2 1–2 8.3%

#3 2–1 8.2%

#4 2–2 6.9%

#5 0–1 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bochum B1.6

Bocholt1.7

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.3% · O3.5 PROB 42.3%

Form & verdict PPG

BOCHUM B · PPG 1.00

BOCHOLT · PPG 1.46

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away AVERAGE (1.46)

Win probability 1X2

Bochum B (H) 38.1%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -12.4%

Draw 23.0%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -13.8%

Bocholt (A) 38.9%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -2.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bochum B face Bocholt in Germany - Regionalliga - West on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bochum B a 38% chance, the draw 23% and Bocholt 39%, so Bocholt are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Bochum B and 1.7 for Bocholt (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bochum B are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.46 for Bocholt. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +3.6%. This match finished 3-2.

Bochum B vs Bocholt Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

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