Chicago Fire vs New York RB Prediction & Tips

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USA - Major League Soccer Regular Season - 13 Soldier Field· Chicago Saturday, May 9, 2026 18:30

Chicago Fire PPG 2.00

1-3 MISS

New York RB PPG 0.83

Over3.5· +8.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 63.8%

Odds: 1.54 EV: -1.8%

Draw 21.5%

Odds: 4.65 EV: -0.0%

Away 14.7%

Odds: 4.90 EV: -16.8%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.7% Odds: 1.35 -16.7%

Over 3.5 58.4% Odds: 1.85 +8.0%

BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.42 -16.5%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 3-0 ✘

2nd 3-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 4-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Chicago Fire

3.09

New York RB

1.00

Model SuggestionHome -1.8% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-1.8%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=63.8%