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Temperley vs Deportivo Maipu Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Regular Season - 13 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 18:30

Temperley

PPG 2.00 · HOME

0 – 5

FULL TIME

Deportivo Maipu

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.5%0-110.9%0-23.6%0-30.8%0-4+0.1%1 1-018.9%1-112.4%1-24.1%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-010.8%2-17.1%2-22.3%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.1%3-12.7%3-20.9%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.0%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.7% — — —

Draw 29.7% — — —

Away win 24.6% — — —

Over 2.5 35.1% — — —

Over 3.5 10.9% — — —

BTTS 45.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 177 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 67%

ROI -1.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-5

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob45.9%

H 46% / xG 1.1-0.7 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.5%

#2 1–0 18.9%

#3 1–1 12.4%

#4 2–0 10.8%

#5 0–1 10.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Temperley1.1

Deportivo Maipu0.7

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.1% · O3.5 PROB 10.9%

Form & verdict PPG

TEMPERLEY · PPG 2.00

DEPORTIVO MAIPU · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=45.7%

Win probability 1X2

Temperley (H) 45.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Deportivo Maipu (A) 24.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Temperley face Deportivo Maipu in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Temperley a 46% chance, the draw 30% and Deportivo Maipu 25%, so Temperley are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Temperley and 0.7 for Deportivo Maipu (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Temperley are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.50 for Deportivo Maipu. This match finished 0-5.

Temperley vs Deportivo Maipu Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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