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Jeddah vs Al Orubah Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Division 1

Regular Season - 33 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 18:00

Jeddah

PPG 0.81 · HOME

0 – 4

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Al Orubah

PPG 2.19 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.3% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.3%0-113.1%0-210.4%0-35.5%0-4+3.1%1 1-07.5%1-111.9%1-29.4%1-35.0%1-4+2.8%2 2-03.4%2-15.4%2-24.3%2-32.3%2-4+1.3%3 3-01.0%3-11.6%3-21.3%3-30.7%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.4%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 25.2% 26.0% 3.85 -1.8%

Draw 27.9% 29.0% 3.45 -2.3%

Away win 46.9% 55.6% 1.80 -15.6%

Over 2.5 46.5% 55.6% 1.80 -16.3%

Over 3.5 24.0% 33.9% 2.95 -17.5%

BTTS 52.3% 59.9% 1.67 -12.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 1.1%

Bet Hit 66%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 23%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-4

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob52.3%

A 47% / xG 0.9-1.6 / O2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%

#2 0–1 13.1%

#3 0–2 10.4%

#4 0–0 8.3%

#5 1–2 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jeddah0.9

Al Orubah1.6

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.5% · O3.5 PROB 24.0%

Form & verdict PPG

JEDDAH · PPG 0.81

AL ORUBAH · PPG 2.19

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.19) vs Home POOR (0.81)

Win probability 1X2

Jeddah (H) 25.2%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -1.8%

Draw 27.9%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -2.3%

Al Orubah (A) 46.9%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -15.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Jeddah face Al Orubah in Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jeddah a 25% chance, the draw 28% and Al Orubah 47%, so Al Orubah are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Jeddah and 1.6 for Al Orubah (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jeddah are averaging 0.81 points per game versus 2.19 for Al Orubah. This match finished 0-4.

Jeddah vs Al Orubah Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Division 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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