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Altglienicke vs Magdeburg B Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost

Nordost - 30 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 12:00

Altglienicke

PPG 1.57 · HOME

5 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Magdeburg B

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 56.9% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.6%0-16.9%0-24.2%0-31.7%0-4+0.7%1 1-09.4%1-111.4%1-26.9%1-32.8%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.8%2-19.4%2-25.7%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-04.3%3-15.2%3-23.2%3-31.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-13.1%4+-21.9%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.8% 52.4% 1.91 -8.7%

Draw 24.2% 27.0% 3.70 -10.5%

Away win 28.0% 30.8% 3.25 -9.0%

Over 2.5 54.8% 59.9% 1.67 -8.5%

Over 3.5 32.5% 37.0% 2.70 -12.3%

BTTS 56.9% 63.7% 1.57 -10.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 47%

ROI 9.8%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-1

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob56.9%

H 48% / xG 1.7-1.2 / O2.5 55% / BTTS 57%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.4%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 1–0 9.4%

#4 2–0 7.8%

#5 1–2 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Altglienicke1.7

Magdeburg B1.2

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.8% · O3.5 PROB 32.5%

Form & verdict PPG

ALTGLIENICKE · PPG 1.57

MAGDEBURG B · PPG 1.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.57), Away AVERAGE (1.43)

Win probability 1X2

Altglienicke (H) 47.8%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV -8.7%

Draw 24.2%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -10.5%

Magdeburg B (A) 28.0%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -9.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Altglienicke face Magdeburg B in Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Altglienicke a 48% chance, the draw 24% and Magdeburg B 28%, so Altglienicke are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Altglienicke and 1.2 for Magdeburg B (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Altglienicke are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 1.43 for Magdeburg B. This match finished 5-1.

Altglienicke vs Magdeburg B Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost

Match Preview & Prediction

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