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Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 logo Saudi-Arabia flag Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 Regular Season - 33 Prince Abdul Aziz bin Masaad Stadium Saturday, May 9, 2026 18:00
Al Jabalain logo Al Jabalain PPG 1.88
4-0 MISS
Al Arabi logo Al Arabi PPG 0.44
Away· -3.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 63.3%
Odds: 1.40 EV: -11.4%
Draw 22.3%
Odds: 4.20 EV: -3.8%
Away 14.4%
Odds: 6.60 EV: -3.0%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.3% Odds: 1.50 -11.1%
Over 3.5 34.7% Odds: 2.25 -21.9%
BTTS 50.9% Odds: 1.62 -17.5%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 3-0
4th 2-1
5th 1-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Jabalain
2.31
Al Arabi
0.67

Model Suggestion

Home -11.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -11.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

League Track Record

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%
O2.5/Under 67%
BTTS/No 50%
Score Hit 50%
ROI 2.7%
Bet Hit 58% (12 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.88) vs P(Home)=63.3%

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