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Saudi-Arabia - Division 1
Regular Season - 33
Prince Abdul Aziz bin Masaad Stadium
Saturday, May 9, 2026
18:00
Al Jabalain
PPG 1.88
4-0
MISS
Al Arabi
PPG 0.44
Away· -3.0%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
63.3%
Odds: 1.40
EV: -11.4%
Draw
22.3%
Odds: 4.20
EV: -3.8%
Away
14.4%
Odds: 6.60
EV: -3.0%
Model lean:
Home
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
59.3%
Odds: 1.50
-11.1%
Over 3.5
34.7%
Odds: 2.25
-21.9%
BTTS
50.9%
Odds: 1.62
-17.5%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
2-0
✘
2nd
1-0
✘
3rd
3-0
✘
4th
2-1
✘
5th
1-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Al Jabalain
2.31
Al Arabi
0.67
Model Suggestion
Home
-11.4%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans Home, but EV is -11.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
League Track Record
↗
Based on 46 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc
63%
O2.5/Under
67%
BTTS/No
50%
Score Hit
50%
ROI
2.7%
Bet Hit
58%
(12 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.88) vs P(Home)=63.3%