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Al Feiha vs Al Quadisiya Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Pro League

Matchday 32 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 18:00

Al Feiha

PPG 1.60 · HOME

LAST 5

DWLLL

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Al Quadisiya

PPG 2.13 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWWW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 61% chance

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 60.2% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.1%0-18.4%0-28.7%0-35.9%0-4+4.9%1 1-04.7%1-19.6%1-29.9%1-36.8%1-4+5.6%2 2-02.7%2-15.5%2-25.6%2-33.8%2-4+3.2%3 3-01.0%3-12.1%3-22.1%3-31.5%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.8%4+-20.8%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 21.9% 14.7% 6.80 +29.3%

Draw 24.2% 23.1% 4.33 +2.9%

Away win 53.9% 69.4% 1.44 -22.4%

Over 2.5 60.2% 61.7% 1.62 -2.5%

Over 3.5 39.6% 39.2% 2.55 +1.0%

BTTS 58.8% 57.8% 1.73 +1.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 78 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 49%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -20.4%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob58.8%

A 54% / xG 1.1-2.1 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.6%

#2 1–2✓ 9.9%

#3 0–2 8.7%

#4 0–1 8.4%

#5 1–3 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Feiha1.1

Al Quadisiya2.1

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.2% · O3.5 PROB 39.6%

Form & verdict PPG

AL FEIHA · PPG 1.60

AL QUADISIYA · PPG 2.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

Chance this pick lands

61%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.13) vs Home GOOD (1.60)

Win probability 1X2

Al Feiha (H) 21.9%

ODDS 6.80 · IMPLIED 14.7% EV +29.3%

Draw 24.2%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV +2.9%

Al Quadisiya (A) 53.9%

ODDS 1.44 · IMPLIED 69.4% EV -22.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Feiha face Al Quadisiya in Saudi-Arabia - Pro League on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Feiha a 22% chance, the draw 24% and Al Quadisiya 54%, so Al Quadisiya are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Al Feiha and 2.1 for Al Quadisiya (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Feiha are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 2.13 for Al Quadisiya. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +29.3%. This match finished 1-2.

Al Feiha vs Al Quadisiya Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

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