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Peru - Primera División logo Peru flag Peru - Primera División Apertura - 14 Estadio 25 de Noviembre· Moquegua Saturday, May 9, 2026 18:00
UCV Moquegua logo UCV Moquegua PPG 2.00
2-2 MISS
ADT logo ADT PPG 0.83
Over2.5· -0.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 39.5%
Odds: 2.46 EV: -2.8%
Draw 29.3%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -5.5%
Away 31.2%
Odds: 2.95 EV: -8.0%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.5% Odds: 2.15 -0.0%
Over 3.5 21.3% Odds: 4.00 -8.9%
BTTS 52.3% Odds: 1.83 -4.3%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 0-1
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

UCV Moquegua
1.26
ADT
1.10

Model Suggestion

BTTS -4.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -4.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=39.5%

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