Today / France - National 1 / Stade Briochin vs Quevilly Rouen

Stade Briochin vs Quevilly Rouen Prediction— France - National 1

Regular Season - 33 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 17:30

Stade Briochin

PPG 0.67 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Quevilly Rouen

PPG 1.07 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.3% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.8%0-111.8%0-27.2%0-32.9%0-4+1.1%1 1-010.9%1-113.2%1-28.0%1-33.2%1-4+1.3%2 2-06.1%2-17.3%2-24.5%2-31.8%2-4+0.7%3 3-02.2%3-12.7%3-21.7%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.0%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.6% 40.0% 2.50 -11.0%

Draw 28.5% 32.3% 3.10 -7.0%

Away win 35.9% 37.7% 2.65 -4.9%

Over 2.5 46.5% 51.3% 1.95 -9.3%

Over 3.5 20.6% 29.4% 3.40 -18.0%

BTTS 52.3% 58.8% 1.70 -11.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 39%

BTTS 44%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -23.9%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob52.3%

D 28% / xG 1.1-1.2 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0 9.8%

#3 0–1 11.8%

#4 1–0 10.9%

#5 1–2 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Stade Briochin1.1

Quevilly Rouen1.2

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.5% · O3.5 PROB 20.6%

Form & verdict PPG

STADE BRIOCHIN · PPG 0.67

QUEVILLY ROUEN · PPG 1.07

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.67) vs Away AVERAGE (1.07)

Win probability 1X2

Stade Briochin (H) 35.6%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -11.0%

Draw 28.5%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -7.0%

Quevilly Rouen (A) 35.9%

ODDS 2.65 · IMPLIED 37.7% EV -4.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Stade Briochin face Quevilly Rouen in France - National 1 on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stade Briochin a 36% chance, the draw 28% and Quevilly Rouen 36%, so Quevilly Rouen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Stade Briochin and 1.2 for Quevilly Rouen (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stade Briochin are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 1.07 for Quevilly Rouen. This match finished 3-0.

Stade Briochin vs Quevilly Rouen Prediction— France - National 1

Match Preview & Prediction

More France - National 1 Predictions