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Rouen vs Versailles Prediction— France - National 1

Regular Season - 33 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 17:30

Rouen

PPG 1.93 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

Versailles

PPG 1.47 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.0%0-111.6%0-24.8%0-31.3%0-4+0.3%1 1-015.9%1-113.2%1-25.5%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.0%2-17.5%2-23.1%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.4%3-12.8%3-21.2%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.0%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.9% 47.6% 2.10 -7.8%

Draw 30.1% 32.3% 3.10 -6.7%

Away win 26.0% 29.4% 3.40 -7.0%

Over 2.5 35.8% 47.6% 2.10 -24.8%

Over 3.5 13.7% 26.7% 3.75 -29.2%

BTTS 48.2% 55.6% 1.80 -13.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 39%

BTTS 44%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -23.9%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.2%

H 44% / xG 1.1-0.8 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.0%

#2 1–1 13.2%

#3 1–0 15.9%

#4 0–1 11.6%

#5 2–0 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rouen1.1

Versailles0.8

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.8% · O3.5 PROB 13.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ROUEN · PPG 1.93

VERSAILLES · PPG 1.47

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.93) > Away AVERAGE (1.47)

Win probability 1X2

Rouen (H) 43.9%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -7.8%

Draw 30.1%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -6.7%

Versailles (A) 26.0%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -7.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Rouen face Versailles in France - National 1 on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rouen a 44% chance, the draw 30% and Versailles 26%, so Rouen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Rouen and 0.8 for Versailles (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rouen are averaging 1.93 points per game versus 1.47 for Versailles. This match finished 1-3.

Rouen vs Versailles Prediction— France - National 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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