Orleans vs Fleury-Merogis Prediction & Tips

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France - National 1 Regular Season - 33 Stade de la Source· Orléans Saturday, May 9, 2026 17:30

Orleans PPG 1.53

2-0 MISS

Fleury-Merogis PPG 1.73

Away· +14.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 27.5%

Odds: 2.35 EV: -21.2%

Draw 29.3%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -2.0%

Away 43.2%

Odds: 2.65 EV: +14.5%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.0% Odds: 1.90 -12.6%

Over 3.5 19.7% Odds: 3.25 -21.6%

BTTS 52.3% Odds: 1.67 -12.7%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 0-2 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Orleans

0.97

Fleury-Merogis

1.31

Model SuggestionBTTS -12.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -12.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+14.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5/Under 39%

BTTS/No 44%

Score Hit 33%

ROI 17.5%

Bet Hit 58% (12 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.53), Away GOOD (1.73)