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Denmark - 1. Division logo Denmark flag Denmark - 1. Division Promotion Group - 29 Blue Water Arena· Esbjerg Saturday, May 9, 2026 17:00
Esbjerg logo Esbjerg PPG 1.79
3-0 MISS
Kolding IF logo Kolding IF PPG 0.93
Draw· +1.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 39.6%
Odds: 2.10 EV: -16.8%
Draw 29.5%
Odds: 3.45 EV: +1.1%
Away 30.9%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -4.2%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.5% Odds: 1.73 -19.6%
Over 3.5 20.8% Odds: 2.80 -25.1%
BTTS 52.3% Odds: 1.57 -17.9%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 0-1
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Esbjerg
1.25
Kolding IF
1.08

Model Suggestion

BTTS -17.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -17.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+1.1%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%
O2.5/Under 60%
BTTS/No 62%
Score Hit 33%
ROI 28.6%
Bet Hit 73% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.79) vs P(Home)=39.6%

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