Varazdin vs Lok. Zagreb Prediction & Tips

Croatia - HNL Regular Season - 34 Gradski stadion Varazdin Saturday, May 9, 2026 16:45

Varazdin PPG 1.81

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

Lok. Zagreb PPG 0.81

Draw· -5.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55% confidence

Home 47.6%

Odds: 1.98 EV: -5.8%

Draw 26.7%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -5.5%

Away 25.6%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -7.8%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Over 2.5 46.5% Odds: 1.80 -16.3%

Over 3.5 24.9% Odds: 2.95 -15.9%

BTTS 52.3% Odds: 1.65 -13.7%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Varazdin

1.51

Lok. Zagreb

1.02

Model SuggestionBTTS -13.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -13.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.81) vs P(Home)=47.6%