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Spain - Segunda División logo Spain flag Spain - Segunda División Regular Season - 39 Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla· Valladolid Saturday, May 9, 2026 16:30
Valladolid logo Valladolid PPG 1.37
2-0 HIT CS5
Real Zaragoza logo Real Zaragoza PPG 0.89
Draw· -1.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 44.1%
Odds: 2.08 EV: -8.3%
Draw 29.7%
Odds: 3.30 EV: -1.2%
Away 26.2%
Odds: 3.50 EV: -5.0%
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 37.2% Odds: 2.00 -25.6%
Over 3.5 14.1% Odds: 3.50 -30.4%
BTTS 48.2% Odds: 1.75 -15.7%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 1-0
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Valladolid
1.16
Real Zaragoza
0.83

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.37) > Away POOR (0.89)

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