Al Najma vs Al Hazm Prediction & Tips

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Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Regular Season - 32 King Abdullah Sports City Stadium· Buraidah Saturday, May 9, 2026 16:15

Al Najma PPG 0.60

2-2 MISS

Al Hazm PPG 1.00

Home· +8.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

45% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 33.9%

Odds: 3.20 EV: +8.5%

Draw 25.3%

Odds: 3.60 EV: -5.3%

Away 40.7%

Odds: 2.10 EV: -14.5%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 57.2% Odds: 1.75 +0.1%

Over 3.5 32.3% Odds: 2.88 -7.0%

BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.60 -5.9%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Najma

1.29

Al Hazm

1.58

Model SuggestionBTTS -5.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -5.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+8.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.60) vs Away AVERAGE (1.00)