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Denmark - 1. Division logo Denmark flag Denmark - 1. Division Relegation Group - 25 Middelfart Stadium· Middelfart Saturday, April 18, 2026 12:00
Middelfart logo Middelfart PPG 0.58
0-6 MISS
Hobro logo Hobro PPG 1.33
Home· +18.4% ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
90% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 29.6%
Odds: 4.00 EV: +18.4%
Draw 26.5%
Odds: 3.45 EV: -8.6%
Away 43.9%
Odds: 1.82 EV: -20.1%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.3% Odds: 1.85 -14.3%
Over 3.5 24.8% Odds: 3.10 -23.1%
BTTS 50.8% Odds: 1.70 -13.6%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-1
3rd 1-0
4th 1-2
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Middelfart
1.11
Hobro
1.41

Model Suggestion

BTTS -13.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -13.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+18.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
90%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.33) vs Home POOR (0.58)

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