Denmark - 1. DivisionRelegation Group - 25Middelfart Stadium· MiddelfartSaturday, April 18, 202612:00
MiddelfartPPG 0.58
0-6MISS
HobroPPG 1.33
Home· +18.4%✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
90% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home29.6%
Odds: 4.00EV: +18.4%
Draw26.5%
Odds: 3.45EV: -8.6%
Away43.9%
Odds: 1.82EV: -20.1%
Model lean: BTTSNot tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.546.3%Odds: 1.85-14.3%
Over 3.524.8%Odds: 3.10-23.1%
BTTS50.8%Odds: 1.70-13.6%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st1-1✘
2nd0-1✘
3rd1-0✘
4th1-2✘
5th0-0✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Middelfart
1.11
Hobro
1.41
Model Suggestion
BTTS-13.6%NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -13.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. Highest raw EV: Home (+18.4%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
90%
UPSET_VALUE
Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.33) vs Home POOR (0.58)