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Italy - Serie A logo Italy flag Italy - Serie A Regular Season - 36 Stadio Olimpico· Rome Saturday, May 9, 2026 16:00
Lazio logo Lazio PPG 1.59
0-3 MISS
Inter Milan logo Inter Milan PPG 2.24
Draw· +0.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 25.2%
Odds: 4.00 EV: +0.5%
Draw 28.2%
Odds: 3.60 EV: +0.9%
Away 46.6%
Odds: 1.83 EV: -14.7%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.5% Odds: 1.80 -16.3%
Over 3.5 23.4% Odds: 2.95 -18.6%
BTTS 52.3% Odds: 1.70 -11.1%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-1
3rd 0-0
4th 0-2
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Lazio
0.93
Inter Milan
1.53

Model Suggestion

BTTS -11.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -11.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+0.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.24) vs Home GOOD (1.59)

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