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Saudi-Arabia - Pro League logo Saudi-Arabia flag Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Regular Season - 32 Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium· Dammam Saturday, May 9, 2026 15:55
Al Khaleej logo Al Khaleej PPG 1.33
0-5 MISS
Al Ittifaq logo Al Ittifaq PPG 1.27
Home· +10.9% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.3%
Odds: 2.25 EV: +10.9%
Draw 25.6%
Odds: 3.60 EV: -4.7%
Away 25.1%
Odds: 2.90 EV: -16.3%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.8% Odds: 1.57 -4.5%
Over 3.5 43.5% Odds: 2.40 +4.4%
BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.45 -14.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-0
4th 1-2
5th 2-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Khaleej
1.97
Al Ittifaq
1.40

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -4.5% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-4.5%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away AVERAGE (1.27)

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