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Slovenia - 1. SNL logo Slovenia flag Slovenia - 1. SNL Regular Season - 34 Bonifika· Koper Saturday, May 9, 2026 15:30
Koper logo Koper PPG 2.38
1-0 MISS
Aluminij logo Aluminij PPG 1.13
Away· +67.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 58.0%
Odds: 1.26 EV: -26.9%
Draw 20.7%
Odds: 5.10 EV: +3.3%
Away 21.3%
Odds: 10.00 EV: +67.8%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.7% Odds: 1.42 -12.4%
Over 3.5 51.9% Odds: 2.05 +6.4%
BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.70 -0.0%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 2-0
3rd 1-1
4th 3-1
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Koper
2.63
Aluminij
1.14

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -12.4% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-12.4%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.38) vs P(Home)=58.0%

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