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Azerbaijan - Premyer Liqa Saturday, May 9, 2026 15:30 
Sumqayit PPG 1.21 
Araz PPG 1.13
Azerbaijan - Premyer Liqa Saturday, May 9, 2026 15:30 Sumqayit PPG 1.212-1 HIT CS2
Araz PPG 1.13Over3.5· +26.3% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 59.3% Odds: 2.05 +21.6%
Over 3.5 34.6% Odds: 3.65 +26.3%
BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.77 +4.1%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✔
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 1-0 ✘
5th 1-2 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Sumqayit 1.72
Araz 1.25
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 +21.6% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+26.3%)
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+26.3%)
League Track Record ↗
Based on 32 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 56%
O2.5/Under 53%
BTTS/No 66%
Score Hit 69%
ROI 23.6%
Bet Hit 57% (7 bets)
Verdict & Form
✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
BALANCED 60%
Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.21), Away AVERAGE (1.13)