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BSC Y. Boys B vs Kreuzlingen Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Regular Season - 31 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 15:00

BSC Y. Boys B

PPG 1.67 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Kreuzlingen

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 61.7% vs bookmaker-implied 74.1%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-12.3%0-21.4%0-30.6%0-4+0.3%1 1-04.8%1-16.2%1-24.0%1-31.7%1-4+0.7%2 2-06.7%2-18.6%2-25.5%2-32.4%2-4+1.0%3 3-06.1%3-17.9%3-25.1%3-32.2%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-08.3%4+-110.6%4+-26.8%4+-32.9%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 58.0% 57.1% 1.75 +1.5%

Draw 20.7% 27.0% 3.70 -14.1%

Away win 21.3% 26.7% 3.75 -12.1%

Over 2.5 61.7% 74.1% 1.35 -16.7%

Over 3.5 57.4% 51.5% 1.94 +11.4%

BTTS 61.3% 71.4% 1.40 -14.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -3.6%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 66%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)2.8 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob61.3%

H 58% / xG 2.8-1.3 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.6%

#2 3–1 7.9%

#3 1–1✓ 6.2%

#4 2–0 6.7%

#5 3–0 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

BSC Y. Boys B2.8

Kreuzlingen1.3

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 57.4%

Form & verdict PPG

BSC Y. BOYS B · PPG 1.67

KREUZLINGEN · PPG 1.00

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

BSC Y. Boys B (H) 58.0%

ODDS 1.75 · IMPLIED 57.1% EV +1.5%

Draw 20.7%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -14.1%

Kreuzlingen (A) 21.3%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -12.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

BSC Y. Boys B face Kreuzlingen in Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives BSC Y. Boys B a 58% chance, the draw 21% and Kreuzlingen 21%, so BSC Y. Boys B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for BSC Y. Boys B and 1.3 for Kreuzlingen (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, BSC Y. Boys B are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.00 for Kreuzlingen. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +11.4%. This match finished 1-1.

BSC Y. Boys B vs Kreuzlingen Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Match Preview & Prediction

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